Senin, 26 Agustus 2013

Weekly Market Technical Analysis Outlook – August 26th to August 30th 2013

By Nial Fuller   Posted in Forex Trading Commentary   

EURUSD – Euro/dollar consolidating below key resistance
The EURUSD moved modestly higher on Friday after a pin bar formed on Thursday showing rejection of lower prices. Despite Thursday’s pin bar, the market still needs to overcome key resistance up near 1.3415 to have a chance at extending the recent rally. Unless the market can close decisively above 1.3415 on the daily chart time frame, we will probably see more consolidation this week or perhaps a rotation lower, back down toward support.
eurusd
GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar rotates down from pin bar at key resistance
The GBPUSD rotated lower last Thursday and Friday from the bearish pin bar reversal setup that we discussed in our August 21st commentary. There’s potential for this market to fall lower still this week, and perhaps re-test key support down around 1.5424. If you zoom out to the weekly chart you can see a bearish pin bar formed on the weekly chart last week, indicating that price could continue falling again this week.
gbpusd
AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar consolidating just below 0.9055
The AUDUSD moved lower again last week and was trading just below 0.9055 resistance late last week. If the market stays contained below that level, we could see it drift lower and re-test key support down near 0.8847 before bouncing higher again. Alternatively, if the market can close back up above 0.9055, we could potentially see it try to push higher again. Overall, this market appears to be a bit choppy right now and we could see some consolidation this week as the market continues to be range-bound between 0.9320 and 0.8847.
audusd
GBPJPY – Sterling/yen false-break pin bar at trading range resistance
The GBPJPY has been caught in a trading range between about 154.00 and 147.50 for about 3 months now. On Friday, the market tried to break out of this range but failed, creating a pin bar reversal sell signal and a false break of 154.00 key resistance in the process. This week, if the market continues to stay contained below about 154.10, we could see price rotate lower from Friday’s bearish pin bar. However, if the market does begin moving higher again and closes above 154.10, it would be a bullish sign and could open the door to a much higher run higher, but until that happens the trading range is still intact and there’s potential for a rotation lower from Friday’s pin bar.
sterlingyen

How to Trade Successfully With a Day Job

By Nial Fuller Posted in Forex Trading Blog 


If you’ve been following my Forex trading lessons for any length of time you undoubtedly know that I pride myself on providing honest and practical trading insight. So, let me cut to the chase early in today’s lesson and just tell you this now: you can successfully trade the market while keeping your day job and without having to drastically change your daily routine.
Many aspiring traders seem to think that they won’t be able to trade successfully or take advantage of potential trades if they are not in front of their computers 8 hours a day. However, this line of thinking is fundamentally wrong and I am going to explain why for you in 6 simple steps:
1. Keep your day job while mastering the art and skill of trading
Do not view your day job as an impediment to successful Forex trading, instead, you should understand that having a day job and a daily routine can actually help you stay away from the markets, and this is a good thing. Many traders are too involved with their trading, whether it’s reading endless economic news articles or staying up all night analyzing their charts, the fact is that absorbing too much information on the markets is only likely to confuse you and (or) cause you to trade too frequently. A job gives you something to take your mind off the markets and let them do their thing without you interfering, and this will work out in your favor in the long-run.
It’s also important to have a stable income while you learn to trade, this way you will not feel the emotion and pressure of ‘needing’ to make money in the markets. I get a lot of emails from aspiring traders who tell me they ‘need’ to make money in Forex for X,Y,or Z reason, and I respond to them all the same way; until you figure out how to remove your ‘need’ to make money in the markets, you will never make the money you so badly desire. Making consistent money in the markets takes a clear and calm mind, and if you are preoccupied with making money in the markets to quit your job or pay your rent, you are unlikely to have the proper trading mindset.
2. You only need 30 minutes a day for market analysis
Contrary to what many traders believe, you don’t need to analyze your charts for hours upon hours each day. You really only need 30 minutes a day to properly analyze the markets once you know what you are looking for. After you have mastered an effective trading strategy like price action trading, you can then develop a trading plan based off of it and this will give you the ability to analyze the market very quickly each day.
Ideally, you will dedicate 15 minutes in the morning (before you go to work) and 15 minutes in the evening (after work) to analyzing the markets. You see, once you know what you are looking for in the markets, you simply check for your trade setup and either enter a trade or do nothing until the your next market analysis time. Trading off the daily charts is especially suited for start of day / end of day analysis. If you focus on the daily charts you can focus on checking the markets after the New York close each day (5pm NY time) and then again about 8 to 12 hours later, depending on your schedule.
3. Being away from the market can help develop good trading habits
meditation1
Trading habits are what determine whether or not you make money in the markets. If you are over-trading and over-leveraging your account, then you have the wrong habits that are the result of the wrong trading mindset. Now, how does your day job play into developing proper trading habits?

Well, if you let the market do its thing while you are at work, you are going to avoid ‘suffocating’ your trades by watching them too long and generally analyzing the markets too much. Too much analysis of the markets usually results in over-trading, so by removing yourself from the markets when you go to work, you will remove a lot of the temptation to trade too frequently.
Yet, many traders ask me, “Nial, will I miss out on trading opportunities while I’m at work?” The answer to this is yes, you probably will. But, you need to ask yourself why are you in such a big rush? The answer to this question is that you feel that ‘need’ to make money which we discussed before and until you remove this need you will not harbor the proper trading mindset. So, by just relaxing a bit while you are away from the markets, and realizing that you don’t need to take every single trade that manifests in the market, you aren’t hurting your long-term chances at trading success, in fact you are improving them.
Once you start to see that taking a longer-term approach to the markets pays off, it will begin to reinforce the positive trading habits of patience and discipline, and then you will begin to develop the proper trading mindset more and more, until eventually you are a trader with positive trading habits and the correct trading mindset, at which point you cannot be stopped from making money consistently.
4. Don’t put all your eggs in one basket
It’s important to have a back-up plan in case you do not end up achieving the level of trading success you desire. You should never put all your eggs in one basket when comes to investing your money, everyone knows this, and trading Forex is no different. You should view your Forex trading activity as another way for you to diversify your overall investment strategy, it should not be the only way you plan on making money, at least not while you are new to the markets.
You should view trading as a way to supplement your day job income, this will work to relieve the pressure of ‘needing’ to make money in the markets, and if you take the pressure and the ‘need’ to make money away, you will also eliminate most of the emotion involved with trading, and this will then open the door for you to be able to make consistent money in the markets. Essentially, the more you feel an emotional ‘need’ to make money in Forex, the less likely you are to attain it.
5. End-of-day data is key
Analyzing end-of-day chart data essentially just means analyzing the daily charts after the New York close. It’s important to try and analyze the daily charts each day between the New York close and the European open. To learn more on Forex trading times, check out my article on the best times to trade Forex. The reason why analyzing end-of-day is important is because it is at the end of New York trading when the final day’s settlement takes place between the bulls and bears. Thus, at this time many price action setups form and we also can see a clear picture of who won the battle between bulls and bears for that day.

By simply waiting to analyze the charts until the end of New York trading and the close of the current Forex trading day at 5pm New York time, you can significantly simplify your trading while simultaneously getting the most important view of each day’s price action. Many traders spend countless hour micro-analyzing the intra-day charts when the daily chart provides us with the most accurate reflection of the overall market picture. Thus, by focusing our market analysis efforts on the daily charts we are naturally going to take higher-probability trades with a lower quantity of trades taken each month.
You can think of trading end-of-day charts as the perfect overall trading approach since it allows you to maintain your regular day-job schedule while also freeing you from the temptation to over-trade and over-analyze the market, while focusing your efforts on the most pertinent view of the market, which occurs on the daily charts.
6. How trading less can help you make money faster
Trading less is a natural outcome of focusing on end-of-day data and on the daily charts. You need to understand that trading less is a good thing, unlike many aspiring traders seem to think. By trading less than the masses of struggling traders, you will gradually improve your consistency over time and you will also reinforce the positive trading habits of discipline and patience. You can focus on a handful of major Forex pairs each day like the EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDJPY and others, to see the other pairs that I focus on, check out my article on the best Forex pairs to trade.
When you focus on the daily charts and the major pairs, you can expect anywhere from 4 to 12 solid setups each month, on average. Some traders are trading 12 trades a week or even per day, this is just lunacy and is more characteristic of a drunk gambler at a casino than a skilled and calculating price action trader. Once you learn to embrace the patience and discipline that comes with focusing your efforts on trading the daily charts, you will begin to see a positive change in your trading account, you just have to find the willpower to stop looking at those 15 minute charts and start understanding that by not trading you are also not losing any money. Not trading too frequently ties in with my concept of learning to trade like a sniper and not a machine gunner.
Finally…
The common theme in this article is that you do not have to trade a lot to make money in the markets and become a successful trader. There is no direct correlation between quantity of trades entered and an increase in the value of your trading account. In fact, it is widely known that traders who trade less frequently tend to do better on average than day-traders and traders who enter larger amounts of trades each month. The point of this article is that you should not think your day job is going to inhibit your chances of Forex trading success, but you should understand that having a daily routine and time away from the markets can actually increase your long-term potential to make money in the markets.


Rabu, 20 Februari 2013

kiyosaki said..

It’s stupid to work hard for money. Use other people’s money and energy to make you rich. Instead, work hard for knowledge...nice advice :D thx robert..

Selasa, 01 Januari 2013

2012 >> 2013

ini pagi 4:18am@1 januari 2013..tak ada yang spesial, cuma pergantian waktu, cuma momen yang mengingatkan bahwa waktu yang terlewati takkan terganti, bahwa masa lalu cuma cerita. dan mungkin karena tadi siang kebanyakan tidur sampe jam segini saya blom  juga ngantuk lalu kepingin berkunjung di blog yang sudah lama tidak saya posting.

masih tetap melanjutkan yang kemaren, private forex trading saya masih tetap jalan, yang on progress terlihat makin baik...berpindah dari interday ke day to day trade, risk reward yang semakin clear, dan penempatan batasan resiko yang sudah menjadi habit trading. saya percaya berorientasi proses lebih penting daripada hasilnya itu sendiri.
dalam perkembangannya saya berharap private forex trading ini  mampu menjadi online business yang bisa memenej high networth fund dengan baik..:) good luck.

Rabu, 15 Agustus 2012

bisnis forex trading

forex trading sebagai bentuk bisnis online masih tetap menarik ko'. yang penting keep lowest the risk, profit will care itself. pasang SL dan TP, temukan comfortable time to trade dan disiplin serta konsisten. good luck for us.

Rabu, 06 Juni 2012

Emas di Gunung Botak

kota Namlea, Kab. Buru, Maluku, sekarang ini tambah rame saja. ramenya karena di banjiri para penambang tradisional sampe yang profesional memburu emas yang beberapa bulan terakhir ini mulai ditemukan di Gunung Botak (disebut begitu :)). efeknya terjadi ini inflasi yang tak terbayangkan dengan melonjaknya harga - harga kebutuhan pokok dan bahan bakar. perubahan tentu saja terjadi, masyarakat di kab. Buru mau tidak mau harus beradaptasi dengan kondisi yang ada. kota ini mulai menggeliat, perputaran uang mengalami peningkatan drastis, tingkat kesejahteraan masyarakat mulai meningkat dan tentu saja dibarengi dengan segala macam pernak perniknya layaknya daerah dollar (kata orang, walaupun saya sendiri belum merasakan dollarnya hehehe).
apapun itu, kondisi ini akan berlangsung dalam waktu yang lama, masyarakat menjadi lebih dinamis, dengan arus pendatang yang nota bene mencari rejeki di daerah ini, kemampuan adaptasi dalam arus perubahan ini benar-benar dibutuhkan.

Minggu, 03 Juni 2012

automated trading

setelah running live account di automated signal baru keliatan keunggulan dan kekurangannya. kelebihannya kita tak perlu susah2 menganalisis pergerakan pasar, tinggal terima signal saja.kelemahannya trading sangat tergantung dari signal provider dan kita tidak benar2 memahami pola trading dan trading sistem yang digunakan, transaksi tidak sepenuhnya otomatis dan risk ratio yang belum tentu bagus. intinya benar2 di risk management si penggguna signal provider. banyak parameter yang harus di analisis, tentunya sangat tergantung dari kemampuan si trader dalam memahami parameter standar dari signal provider,karena tidak melulu berdasarkan performance, tapi tergantung juga dari open position, max. drawdown, risk ratio, etc..nah, tergantung Anda sekarang, automated or manual..mungkin bagusnya di combine saja. good luck for us :)

sekilas kelintas



sering kali kita ingin melakukan banyak hal sekaligus, padahal kemampuan kita terbatas.dan banyak kali kita terlalu sibuk melihat apa yang orang lain miliki hingga kita lupa mensyukuri apa yang sudah kita punya. tak terhitung keluhan kita saat terkena musibah, kecewa, sakit yang mendera, etc..dan lupa akan nikmat hidup yang kita punya. live your life with your own gift today..